ANOTHER GOOD YEAR FOR STOCKS. (cover story)

Autores: SMITH, ANNE KATES (AUTHOR) Anne.Smith@futurenet.com

Fonte: Kiplinger Personal Finance. Jan2025, Vol. 79 Issue 1, p22-30. 8p. 2 Color Photographs, 1 Chart.

Termos do assunto: *ECONOMIC forecasting, *INTEREST rates, *BUSINESS cycles, *MID-capitalization stocks, *MORTGAGE-backed securities, *CENTRAL banking industry, *PETROLEUM sales & prices, *REAL estate investment trusts, *EXCHANGE traded funds

Empresa / Entidade: BANK of America Corp. 055169452

WHERE TO INVEST NOW. (cover story)

Autores: SMITH, ANNE KATES (AUTHOR) Anne.Smith@futurenet.com

Fonte: Kiplinger Personal Finance. Jul2024, Vol. 78 Issue 7, p16-24. 8p. 2 Color Photographs, 2 Graphs.

Termos do assunto: *STOCK repurchasing, *ECONOMIC forecasting, *EARNINGS forecasting, *EXCHANGE traded funds, *BUSINESS cycles, *INTEREST rates, *BONDS (Finance)

Aggregate tone and gross domestic product.

Autores: Demers, Elizabeth¹ (AUTHOR) elizabeth.demers@uwaterloo.ca, Gaertner, Fabio B.² (AUTHOR), Kausar, Asad³ (AUTHOR), Li, Heather⁴ (AUTHOR), Steele, Logan B.⁵ (AUTHOR)

Fonte: Contemporary Accounting Research. Dec2024, Vol. 41 Issue 4, p2574-2599. 26p.

Termos do assunto: *ECONOMIC forecasting, *CONSERVATISM (Accounting), *GROSS domestic product, *FINANCIAL statements, *CORPORATE profits

The Strange and Future Political Economy of AI.

Autores: LICON, JIMMY ALFONSO¹

Fonte: Independent Review. Spring2025, Vol. 29 Issue 4, p689-692. 4p.

Termos do assunto: *ECONOMIC forecasting, *ARTIFICIAL intelligence, *LONELINESS

Country/Territory Report - United States.

Fonte: United States Country Monitor. Jan2025, p1-117. 117p.

Termos do assunto: *ECONOMIC forecasting, *TERRORISM

Termos geográficos: UNITED States

Economic loss attributable to premature deaths and morbidity among adolescents in India and its states.

Autores: Kumar, G Anil¹ (AUTHOR), Pandey, Anamika¹ (AUTHOR), Dandona, Rakhi^1,2 (AUTHOR) rakhi.dandona@phfi.org

Fonte: BMC Medicine. 1/29/2025, Vol. 23 Issue 1, p1-14. 14p.

Termos do assunto: *ECONOMIC forecasting, *ECONOMIC impact, *EARLY death, *GLOBAL burden of disease, *COMMUNICABLE diseases

Termos geográficos: INDIA

Prediction of Liaoning province steel import and export trade based on deep learning models.

Autores: Zhang, Limin¹ (AUTHOR) 12021210003@cueb.edu.cn

Fonte: Expert Systems. Jan2025, Vol. 42 Issue 1, p1-13. 13p.

Termos do assunto: *ECONOMIC forecasting, *PATTERN recognition systems, *BOX-Jenkins forecasting, *MOVING average process, *TIME series analysis

How to navigate pricing during disinflationary times.

Autores: Driedonks, Boudewijn, Zerbi, Stefano, Freundt, Tjark, Joy, Jimmy¹

Fonte: McKinsey Quarterly. 2024 Q4, Issue 4, p140-150. 11p. 1 Color Photograph, 4 Graphs.

Termos do assunto: *BUSINESS success, *ECONOMIC forecasting, *CONSUMPTION (Economics), *CONSUMER confidence, *BUSINESS-to-business transactions, ECONOMIC conditions in China

WHAT’S NEXT FOR STOCKS?

Autores: SMITH, ANNE KATES (AUTHOR) Anne.Smith@futurenet.com.

Fonte: Kiplinger Personal Finance. Jun2025, Vol. 79 Issue 6, p32-33. 2p. 1 Color Photograph.

Termos do assunto: *ECONOMIC forecasting, *INVESTORS, *STOCKS (Finance), *MARKET volatility, *TARIFF, UNITED States economy, WALL Street (New York, N.Y.)

Empresa / Entidade: UBS AG 022700199 UBS

People: TRUMP, Donald, 1946-

Know Your Rival, Know Yourself: Rightsizing the China Challenge.

Autores: BLANCHETTE, JUDE, HASS, RYAN

Fonte: Foreign Affairs. Jan/Feb2025, Vol. 104 Issue 1, p88-99. 11p.

Termos do assunto: *RUSSIAN invasion of Ukraine, 2022-, *ECONOMIC forecasting, *SCIENCE education, *CONSUMPTION (Economics), UNITED States economy

Economic burden of cardiovascular diseases among elderly patients in Iran: a case from a developing country.

Autores: Tasavon Gholamhoseini, Mohammad¹ (AUTHOR), Arjomand Kermani, Sepideh¹ (AUTHOR), Yazdi-Feyzabadi, Vahid² (AUTHOR), Goudarzi, Reza¹ (AUTHOR) rgoudarzi@kmu.ac.ir

Fonte: BMC Health Services Research. 11/6/2024, Vol. 24 Issue 1, p1-9. 9p.

Termos do assunto: *ECONOMIC forecasting, *OLDER patients, *OLDER people, *MEDICAL care costs, *COST analysis, *CARDIOVASCULAR diseases

Termos geográficos: IRAN

Climate-Related Financial Stability Risks for the United States: Methods and Applications.

Autores: Brunetti, Celso celso.brunetti@frb.gov, Crosignani, Matteo matteo.crosignani@ny.frb.org, Dennis, Benjamin benjamin.dennis@frb.gov, Kotta, Gurubala gskotta@ucdavis.edu, Morgan, Donald P. don.morgan@ny.frb.org, Chaehee Shin chaehee.shin@frb.gov, Zer, Ilknur ilknur.zerboudet@frb.gov

Fonte: Economic Policy Review (19320426). Oct2024, Vol. 30 Issue 1, p1-37. 37p.

Termos do assunto: *ECONOMIC forecasting, *REAL economy, *BUSINESS cycles, *CONSUMPTION (Economics), *INTEREST rates, *INVESTMENT risk, *CARBON taxes, *INSURANCE companies, *AGGREGATE industry

Empresa / Entidade: FEDERAL Reserve Bank of New York 001673995

TRADE VALUE PREDICTION USING HYBRID GRAPH CONVOLUTIONAL RECURRENT NEURAL NETWORK WITH LION OPTIMIZATION MODEL.

Autores: BINSUWADAN, Jawaher¹, MOHAMED, Halima Younis A.², ABDULRAHIM, Hiyam¹ haalrahim@pnu.edu.sa, YAGOUB, Rahmtalla Y.³, ELHAG, Azhari A.⁴

Fonte: Thermal Science. 2024, Vol. 28 Issue 6B, p5019-5028. 10p.

Termos do assunto: *MACHINE learning, *ECONOMIC forecasting, *OPTIMIZATION algorithms, *SYSTEMS theory, *ECONOMIC indicators, *RECURRENT neural networks

Country/Territory Report - United States.

Fonte: United States Country Monitor. Jun2024, p1-121. 121p.

Termos do assunto: *ECONOMIC forecasting, *TERRORISM

Termos geográficos: UNITED States

TIME TO EXPLORE INVESTMENTS ABROAD.

Autores: HUANG, NELLIE S. (AUTHOR)

Fonte: Kiplinger Personal Finance. Apr2023, Vol. 77 Issue 4, p20-24. 5p. 3 Color Photographs.

Termos do assunto: *BUSINESS enterprises, *ECONOMIC forecasting, *CONSUMPTION (Economics), *INVESTORS, *INTEREST rates, *EXCHANGE traded funds, *SMART cities, *AMERICAN depository receipts

Real‐Time Forecasting Using Mixed‐Frequency VARs With Time‐Varying Parameters.

Autores: Heinrich, Markus¹ (AUTHOR), Reif, Magnus² (AUTHOR) magnus.reif@bundesbank.de

Fonte: Journal of Forecasting. May2025, p1. 12p. 3 Illustrations.

Termos do assunto: *ECONOMIC forecasting, *FORECASTING, *MARKET volatility, *ECONOMIC change, *MONTE Carlo method, STATISTICAL models, VECTOR autoregression model, AUTOREGRESSIVE models

Prevention first vs. cap-and-trade policies in an agent-based integrated assessment model with GHG emissions permits.

Autores: Popoyan, Lilit^1,2 (AUTHOR) l.popoyan@qmul.ac.uk, Sapio, Alessandro³ (AUTHOR) alessandro.sapio@uniparthenope.it

Fonte: Journal of Evolutionary Economics. Apr2025, Vol. 35 Issue 2, p309-354. 46p.

Termos do assunto: *ECONOMIC forecasting, *EMISSIONS trading, CLIMATE change models, GREENHOUSE gases, ENVIRONMENTAL permits

Feature Article: How much could trade policy uncertainty hurt the outlook?

Autores: Saunders, Michael (AUTHOR) msaunders@oxfordeconomics.com

Fonte: Economic Outlook. Apr2025, Vol. 49 Issue 2, p33-38. 6p.

Termos do assunto: *ECONOMIC forecasting, *COMMERCIAL policy, *ECONOMIC policy, *ECONOMIC impact, *MONETARY policy, *FISCAL policy, *EUROZONE

Feature Article: Why official data are less reliable and what this means.

Autores: Goodwin, Andrew (AUTHOR) agoodwin@oxfordeconomics.com

Fonte: Economic Outlook. Apr2025, Vol. 49 Issue 2, p9-12. 4p.

Termos do assunto: *ECONOMIC forecasting, *ECONOMIC statistics, *ECONOMIC models, *WAGE increases, *STATISTICAL reliability

Money Demand in Indonesia and Its Forecasting to 2033.

Autores: Suroso, Arif Imam¹ (AUTHOR) arifimamsuroso@apps.ipb.ac.id, Bahri, Saiful² (AUTHOR), Achsani, Noer Azam¹ (AUTHOR), Suhendi^1,2 (AUTHOR), Sari, Linda Karlina¹ (AUTHOR)

Fonte: Economies. Apr2025, Vol. 13 Issue 4, p98. 15p.

Termos do assunto: *ECONOMIC forecasting, *TIME series analysis, *BUSINESS analytics, *GROSS domestic product, *INTEREST rates, *DEMAND for money

Termos geográficos: INDONESIA